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Former US President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are in a tight race in Michigan, according to a new poll from the key Upper Midwest battleground state ahead of the November election.
Harris leading Trump by a mere 0.3 percentage points. Harris has 41.6% support compared to Trump’s 41.3%, a margin that falls within the poll’s 4-point margin of error, according to the Detroit News-WDIV-TV live-dial poll, conducted from July 22 to 24.
The poll follows US President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the presidential race and highlights a tight contest in Michigan, a state that will be key in the upcoming election, the New York Post reported. The poll underlines the impact of third-party candidates in the race. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., running under the Natural Law Party, garners 9.7% support in Michigan.
Kennedy’s presence could influence the outcome, especially if his support diminishes as the election nears. Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver receives 0.7%, Green Party’s Jill Stein gets 0.5%, and 0.3% support other candidates. Additionally, 5.6% of voters are still undecided. The poll suggests that Biden’s exit has reinvigorated Democratic voters, with 46.4% of voters under 30, 38.5% of Black voters, and 36.6% of self-identified “strong Democrats” expressing increased enthusiasm for Harris compared to Biden.
A notable gender gap is evident in the poll. Trump leads among men with 50.3% support, while Harris trails with 35.3%. In contrast, Harris leads among women with 47.4% support compared to Trump’s 33% and Kennedy’s 11.2%. The poll indicates challenges for Trump’s outreach to minority voters. No African American respondents reported supporting Trump, whereas 82.1% back Harris and 11.5% support Kennedy.
The path to victory for either Trump or Harris will likely require addressing Kennedy’s influence among independents. This poll marks the second instance this week of a close race in Michigan. An Emerson College survey also shows that Harris and Trump are tied at 44% when considering the expanded presidential field.
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