New Delhi: Uttar Pradesh voted peacefully on Saturday in the first of seven-phase polling with a low 45 per cent turnout. Various TV channel carried out exit polls and most of them predicted that no party would get more than 135 seats in the 403-member Assembly - moving towards a hung Assembly.
A Star News exit poll said that BSP would end up bagging 135 of the Assembly’s 403 seats, relegating the ruling Samajwadi Party to the second slot with 103 seats. But the NDTV survey suggested 125-135 for BSP and a close 120-130 for Chief Minister Mulayam Singh’s party.
The exit poll conducted by NDTV for the 62 seats said that SP leading with 20-24 seats, nearly at par with its performance in 2002 when it had secured 24 seats in the Assembly constituencies.
According to the NDTV poll, tThe SP's archrival the BSP, meanwhile, is expected to better its 2002 tally of 14 seats, as it is expected to win 16-20 seats.
However, the exit poll indicates that the BJP will only win 12-16 assembly constituencies, down from the 18 it won in 2002.
Finally, the Congress Party is projected to bag 6-10, which implies an improved showing as compared to the four seats it won in 2002.)
The Star News projected that the BJP would get 99 seats. Although the Star predicted a miserable 28 for the Congress, the other survey said it could win up to 50 seats.
The Star News poll said the SP was likely to win 15 seats in the first phase, a drastic decline from the 24 it won in 2002 and an even sharper drop from the 2004 Lok Sabha polls, when it led in 45 of these seats.
The poll suggested the BSP would win 20 seats, up from 14 in 2002, while the BJP and its allies would win 19, one more than they did last time. For the state as a whole, it projected the BSP to finish with 135 seats, the SP with 103 and the BJP alliance with 99 seats.
The Congress, which this exit poll said would get five seats in phase 1, is projected to win 28 seats in the state.
The other exit polls were conducted by TIMES NOW and India TV, contradicting each other on exactly how well the major parties had done in this particular phase.
The TIMES NOW exit poll predicted that the SP would fare best in the first round of polling.
It gave the SP 22 seats, with a range of 20-24, out of the 62 seats that went for polling in the first phase of assembly elections.
TIMES NOW forecast 18 seats for the BSP (range of 16-20), 15 for BJP (range 13-17) and 5 for the Congress (range 3-7).
The exit poll conducted by India TV projected the Samajwadi Party getting the maximum of 62 Uttar Pradesh assembly seats where polling was held in the first phase today.
The exit poll projected SP winning on 22-26 seats, with Mayawati-led BSP close behind with a projected victory on 19-23 constituencies.
India TV exit poll shows BJP winning 13-17 seats and Congress grabbing 3-5 seats.
Out of these four channels two agreed that the BSP would finish as the single largest party followed by the SP, the BJP and the Congress in that order.
They also agreed that no party would get more than 135 seats in the 403-member Assembly.
The areas which voted on Saturday included the Taj Mahal city of Agra, about 200 km south of New Delhi, and surrounding areas including Mainpuri, Kanpur, Kanpur Dehat, Jalaun, Etah, Hamirpur, Jhansi, Lalitpur, Mahoba, Etawah, Auraiya and Firozabad.
A total of 839 candidates, including a large number of independents, were in the fray.
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