New Delhi: As SP chief Mulayam Singh Yadav and TMC head Mamata Banerjee threw new names on Wednesday evening in the race for India's next President, the calculations of the various political formations have gone in a tizzy. Neither the UPA nor the NDA have the numbers to elect the President of their choice.
It was being hoped that Mamata and Mulayam will support UPA in their bid to make Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee as the President. But on Wednesday, those calculations were disturbed by Mulayam and Mamata who threw a political googly by naming ex-President APJ Abdul Kalam, PM Manmohan Singh and ex-Lok Sabha Speaker Somnath Chatterjee, as their choices.
As the numbers game becomes less and less predictable, here is a look at the uncertainty of the presidential polls.
10, 98, 882: Total number of votes (5,49,408 of MPs and 5,49,474 of MLAs)
5,49,442: Minimum votes required for President to be elected
The UPA situation is:
UPA
Total Votes: 4,60,191(42%, including TMC)
Congress: 3,30,485
The votes with three crucial UPA allies are:
TMC: 48,049
SP: 68, 812
BSP: 43,349
Let's now look at the various possibilities:
UPA - TMC: 412142
UPA + SP: 529003
UPA - SP: 391379
Even if UPA goes without Mamata and with Mulayam and Mayawati, the numbers are: UPA - TMC + SP + BSP: 524303. The figure is still below the magic figure of 5,49,442.
On the other hand, the NDA has no numbers to push for its President. However, politics being a game of uncertainties, any possibility in future is difficult to rule out. Here are the NDA figures:
NDA
Total Votes: 304,785 (28%)
BJP: 2,23,885
In such a scenario, the non-UPA, non-NDA parties may end up playing a crucial role in deciding the next President. Left parties form a large part of this group.
NON-UPA, NON-NDA
Total Votes: 2,62,408 (24%)
To help you do your own mathematics, here are more details:
UPA
Total Votes- 4,60,191(42%)
Congress- 3,30,485
NDA
Total Votes- 304,785 (28%)
BJP- 2,23,885
NON-UPA, NON-NDA
Total Votes- 2,62,408 (24%)
Crucial Votes
SP + BSP + TMC
68,812 43,349 48,049
5,49,442: Minimum votes required for President to be elected
Total Votes (MPs + MLAs) 10,98,882
Votes Need to Elect President: 5,49,442
UPA'S VOTE SHARE: 4,49,133
CONGRESS: 330405
TMC: 45925
Magic Figure: 549442
UPA + RJD + SP + BSP 571644
4,49,133 + 10,350 + 66,688 + 45,473
Magic Figure: 549442
Without SP(66688) & TMC(45925) 4,59,031
Short by 90,411 votes
Magic Figure: 549442
NDA'S VOTE SHARE 3,04,785
Short by 2,44,657 votes
Magic Figure: 549442
None of the existing alliances have majority to elect its candidate
Comments
0 comment